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16.6% of escrows were canceled in September, a new high since October last year

A cocktail of high mortgage rates and high home prices has driven potential buyers to back out of deals at the highest rate in a year.

Monthly pending home sales that fell out of a contract in the US for the month of September notched 16.6%, the highest since October 2022 when mortgage rates surpassed 7%.

Of the 50 most populous metro areas analyzed, cities in Florida were found to have been hit hardest by rising deal cancellations in September. Jacksonville, Orlando, Tampa, Fort Lauderdale, and Miami all saw deal cancellations above 20% of pending home sales. At the top of the charts was Atlanta, with 24.4% of home deals that fell through.

Source: Business Insider

A new law allows homeowners to sell ADUs like condos

Accessory dwelling units, also referred to as ADUs and “granny flats,” have been available in California only as rentals. But a new law is giving Californians the opportunity to buy and sell them as condominiums.

ADUs come in all shapes and sizes — for example, a converted garage, a small home in the backyard, or, as often seen in San Francisco, an unused portion of the main house.

Under AB 1033, which was signed into law this week, property owners in participating cities will be able to construct an ADU on their land and sell it separately, following the same rules that apply to condominiums.

Under the new law, local governments need to opt in to the ADU-as-condominium approach for it to be an option in their cities.

As with new condominiums, homeowners building ADUs must notify the local utilities, including water, sewer, gas and electric, of the creation and separate conveyance of the unit. Each property will also have to form a homeowners association to assess dues to cover the cost of caring for the property’s exterior and shared spaces, such as the driveway, a pool or a common roof.

Selling ADUs as condominiums is having success in places such as Oregon, Texas and Seattle. Sample sales for neighbor residential parcels with detached ADUs, reporting that a unit of more than 1,000 square feet sold for an average of anywhere between $500,000 to $800,000.

Source: Los Angeles Times

Do you think interest rates will continue to go up?

6.5% of US homes for sale had a price drop

A recent report from Redfin said more home sellers are dropping their asking price. During the four weeks ending September 24, 6.5% of US homes for sale had a price drop, an uptick from 5.8% in August.

"It's still tough to win a home for under asking price, but sellers have come to terms with the fact that 7%-plus mortgage rates are giving buyers cold feet and that homes aren't as likely to attract multiple offers," Redfin said.

97,197 Southern California homes sold during the first seven months of 2023, the lowest January-to-July total on record.

This year's sales tally is 41% lower than during the pandemic boom two years ago.

Source: CoreLogic

Bolder Fed inflation policy may catapult mortgage rates

At their last meeting in June, the Fed had a 75-basis point increase. That played a big part in the mortgage interest rates shooting up like crazy.

The Fed will now meet again at the end of July. Many economists predict the Fed will tighten its monetary policy further to control inflation. That could lead to another 75- or 100-basis point increase in the Fed’s short-term benchmark rate. While the Fed’s benchmark rate does not directly impact mortgage rates, it does influence them.

NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said following the Fed’s last rate hike in June—its largest since 1994—that the buyer pool could shrink even further as mortgage rates increase.

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Median home values in LA have gone up 280%

Los Angeles’ median home value in 2000 was around $231,000. That number has jumped to $878,000 in 2022 – a 280% increase.

Mortgage rates surge to 4.42%

Elevated inflation and the Federal Reserve’s monetary tightening policy drove the latest leap in mortgage rates this week. Since the beginning of this year, mortgage rates have jumped by 1.2%. The typical home buyer would need to spend $250 more every month to be able to purchase a home, Nadia Evangelou, senior economist and director of forecasting for the National Association of REALTORS®, writes on the association’s blog.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage moved up to a 4.42% average this week, more than a quarter of a percentage point compared to last week, Freddie Mac reports in its latest mortgage market survey. Rates continued to rise across loan types. “Rising inflation, escalating geopolitical uncertainty, and the Federal Reserve’s actions are driving rates higher and weakening consumers’ purchasing power,” says Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist. “In short, the rise in mortgage rates, combined with continued house price appreciation, is increasing monthly mortgage payments and quickly affecting home buyers’ ability to keep up with the market.”

30-year fixed-rate mortgages: averaged 4.42%, with an average of 0.8 points, rising from last week’s 4.16% average. Last year at this time, 30-year rates averaged 3.17%.

Source: Freddie Mac and “Instant Reaction: Mortgage Rates, March 24, 2022,” National Association of REALTORS® Economists’ Outlook blog (March 24, 2022)